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Kuwait income hit by oil price plunge

First Posted 17:01:00 12/21/2008

KUWAIT CITY--OPEC member Kuwait earned 1.255 billion dinars (US$4.65 billion) in November, its lowest monthly income this year due to the sharp decline in oil prices, the finance ministry said on Sunday.

The oil-rich emirate's revenues have been declining since peaking at $12.9 billion in August as the price of Kuwaiti oil, which makes up 95 percent of public income, dived to $35 a barrel from around 140 in July.

Nevertheless, the Gulf state still posted a healthy income of 17.7 billion dinars ($64.4 billion) in the first eight months of the 2008/2009 fiscal year, up 40 percent on the budget target for the year ending on March 31.

Oil revenues came in at 16.8 billion dinars ($61.2 billion), 44 percent above budget projections of $42.4 billion based on a price of $50 a barrel.

Kuwait, which says it sits on 10 percent of global oil reserves, was pumping about 2.6 million barrels per day but recent OPEC cuts have reduced its output quota to around 2.2 million barrels per day.

Spending in the first eight months was 7.9 billion dinars ($28.7 billion), less than half of the 18.966 billion dinars ($69 billion) in budget outlays forecast for the entire year.

That leaves a preliminary budget surplus of 9.8 billion dinars ($35.7 billion) although the budget projects a massive full year deficit of 23.5 billion dollars.

The surplus is expected to shrink considerably when the finance ministry makes the end-year accounting adjustments by including pledged spending which has not been registered so far.

The results, however, put OPEC's fourth largest producer well on track to post a budget surplus for the 10th straight year.

Local economic reports have said the budget surplus will be much smaller than initially forecast, and it is now estimated at around $10 billion -- down from the expected $40 billion.

The reports indicated that the emirate will post its first budget deficit in the next fiscal year if oil prices do not rebound.

In the past fiscal year which ended on March 31, the Gulf emirate achieved a record surplus of 9.33 billion dinars ($35 billion).

Based on official figures compiled by AFP, Kuwait has chalked up a total budget surplus of 30.35 billion dinars ($113 billion) over the past nine fiscal years starting with the 1999-2000 year.

The emirate, which has foreign investments worth $264 billion, has a native population of just over one million, plus 2.35 million foreign residents.


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